Assumptions for the simplified what-ifs:
1. Support changes would be evenly distributed as a percentage of voters across ridings.
2. Support lost by the Conservatives would be gained by the Liberals and NDP in proportion to their support in the riding.
3. Support lost by the combined Liberal-NDP Party would be gained by the Conservatives.
Tags:
From:
no subject
From:
no subject
So long as we have the current election system, there will be a push towards two-party structures. Fortunately, our system allows for nascent parties to develop and gain some influence, but I think their natural endpoint is to merge into one of the Big Two when they get big enough to matter (e.g. Reform), or fade away (e.g. Social Credit).